CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Mar 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK

USA
1 - 0
El Salvador

Pepi (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reyes (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between USA and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Grenada 1-7 USA
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	7
2	USA	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	-3	3
4	Wales	3	-5	1

El Salvador

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	El Salvador
71.08% ( -0.94)	18.34% ( 0.42)	10.58% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 43.82% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

-0.33)

46.22% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

-0.31)

68.51% (

0.3)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

-0.35)

11.71% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.17% (

-0.75)

36.83% (

0.74)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.63% (

0.82)

50.36% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.09% (

0.56)

84.91% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

USA 71.07%

El Salvador 10.58%

Draw 18.34%

USA	Draw	El Salvador
2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 12.65% 3-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 71.07%	1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.34%	0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.58%