CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
USA1 - 0El Salvador
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between USA and El Salvador.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grenada 1-7 USA
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
Result | ||
USA | Draw | El Salvador |
71.08% ( -0.94) | 18.34% ( 0.42) | 10.58% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 43.82% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% ( -0.33) | 46.22% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% ( -0.31) | 68.51% ( 0.3) |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.29% ( -0.35) | 11.71% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.17% ( -0.75) | 36.83% ( 0.74) |
El Salvador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.63% ( 0.82) | 50.36% ( -0.82) |