After they prevented El Salvador from getting even a single shot on target when the two nations last met, at the start of the year, the US are clear favourites despite being the away side. With time to impress their coach before the World Cup fast running out, the visitors will be motivated too, so can score at least once themselves to secure victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	USA
34.28% ( -0.05)	26.37% ( -0.03)	39.34% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

0.12)

51.95% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3% (

0.1)

73.7% (

-0.1)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

0.03)

28.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

0.04)

64.69% (

-0.04)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

0.1)

25.88% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

0.13)

60.86% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

El Salvador 34.28%

USA 39.34%

Draw 26.37%

El Salvador	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.28%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.34%