We said: Peru 1-2 El Salvador
With El Salvador having a much more settled side and Peru having a manager who is only taking charge of his second game for the national team, there is a chance for El Salvador to pick up a really good result here. After their draw against the USA, a win in this fixture could definitely be on the cards.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.