Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 9.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.79%) and 3-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.76%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.