World Cup | Last 16
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Netherlands3 - 1USA
The Match
Match Report
The Netherlands produce a clinical attacking performance and survive a brief scare to beat the USA 3-1 and qualify for the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup.
Team News
Christian Pulisic is passed fit to start for the USA in their World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with the Netherlands at the Khalifa International Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup clash between Netherlands and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the USA could line up for Saturday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with the Netherlands.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Qatar
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for USA had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | USA |
52.98% ( -0.45) | 25.74% ( 0.31) | 21.28% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.95) | 56.83% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% ( -0.77) | 77.76% ( 0.76) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.58) | 21.52% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.89) | 54.57% ( 0.88) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.4) | 41.93% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.62% ( -0.35) | 78.37% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Netherlands 52.97%
USA 21.28%
Draw 25.74%
| Netherlands | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.28% |
How you voted: TBC vs
TBC
76.6%Draw
23.4%415
Form Guide
Build-up
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