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Copa America header

Copa America
Colombia national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2021 at 1am UK
colombia
Ecuador national football team

Colombia
1 - 0
Ecuador

Cardona (42')
Uribe (25'), Munoz (79'), Borre (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valencia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Colombia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Monday's Copa America clash with Colombia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawEcuador
47.75%23.81%28.44%
Both teams to score 58.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81%18.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81%49.19%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75%28.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04%63.96%
Score Analysis
    Colombia 47.75%
    Ecuador 28.44%
    Draw 23.81%
ColombiaDrawEcuador
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Colombia vs Ecuador

Colombia
77.7%
Draw
11.6%
Ecuador
10.7%
112
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
6-1
Colombia
Arboleda (7'), Mena (9'), Estrada (32'), Arreaga (39'), Plata (78'), Estupinan (90+1')
Ibarra (45+3'), Perlaza (51'), Plata (60'), Mendez (68')
Plata (80')
Rodriguez (45+1' pen.)
Lerma (13'), Murillo (53'), Cuadrado (66'), Suarez (86'), Fabra (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-1
Colombia

Arreaga (65')
Uribe (42')
Barrios (80')
Mar 28, 2017 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
0-2
Colombia
Rodriguez (20'), Cuadrado (34')
rhs 2.0
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