Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 26, 2024 at 11pm UK
Allegiant Stadium
Ecuador3 - 1Jamaica
Form, Standings, Stats
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Venezuela
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America
We said: Ecuador 1-0 Jamaica
Even with their goal ruled out, the Reggae Boys were quite wasteful in their opener and could have difficulty penetrating a well-organised Ecuadorian backline that have bounced back well from setbacks. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Jamaica |
41.34% ( 0.02) | 28.73% ( 0.06) | 29.92% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.5% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.24% ( -0.23) | 61.75% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.44% ( -0.18) | 81.55% ( 0.17) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -0.1) | 29.41% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.59% ( -0.13) | 65.4% ( 0.13) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.2) | 36.95% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.26% ( -0.2) | 73.74% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Ecuador 41.34%
Jamaica 29.91%
Draw 28.72%
| Ecuador | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.91% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Jamaica
Ecuador
67.9%Draw
15.8%Jamaica
16.4%165
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2018 1.05am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
2-0
Jamaica
