MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:01:00| >> :60:225:225:
Argentina national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 10, 2024 at 12am UK
Soldier Field
Ecuador national football team

Argentina
1 - 0
Ecuador

di Maria (40')
Gonzalez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caicedo (11'), Gruezo (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Argentina and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Sunday's international friendly clash with Ecuador.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, March 27 at 2.50am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Argentina 2-1 Ecuador

Although Argentina are set to name an untried lineup, their starting XI will still boast an array of talent, and we think that they will ultimately do enough to edge out Ecuador to claim a fourth consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
67.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 20.22% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 12.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.97% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)41.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.21% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.78% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.49% (0.016 0.02)84.51% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 67.55%
    Ecuador 12.22%
    Draw 20.22%
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 13.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.47%
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19%
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 67.55%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.22%
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 12.22%

How you voted: Argentina vs Ecuador

Argentina
81.5%
Draw
11.9%
Ecuador
6.7%
135
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Ecuador
Messi (78')
Paredes (82')

Cifuentes (61')
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
Jul 4, 2021 2am
Quarter-Finals
Argentina
3-0
Ecuador
Otamendi (45+4'), Gonzalez (66')
Preciado (20'), Franco (31'), Estupinan (44')
Hincapie (90+2')
Oct 9, 2020 1.30am
Oct 13, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
6-1
Ecuador
rhs 2.0
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