MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 19:35:30| >> :120:4720:4720:
Ecuador national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Guatemala national football team

Ecuador
2 - 0
Guatemala

Yeboah (8'), Plata (86')
Franco (85'), Plata (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Chile
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Guatemala

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Iceland
Sunday, January 14 at 12am in International Friendlies

We said: Ecuador 1-0 Guatemala

 Ecuador have shown tremendous discipline defensively so far in their World Cup qualifying campaign and have done equally well in close games. In contrast, the Guatemalans are struggling to find consistency throughout a 90-minute contest, which is why we are giving the South Americans the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawGuatemala
57.27% (-0.241 -0.24) 25.53% (0.214 0.21) 17.19% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 40.23% (-0.468 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41% (-0.654 -0.65)60.58% (0.651 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (-0.498 -0.5)80.68% (0.496 0.5)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.363 -0.36)21.28% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (-0.565 -0.56)54.21% (0.562 0.56)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.11% (-0.359 -0.36)48.88% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.12% (-0.259 -0.26)83.87% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 57.26%
    Guatemala 17.19%
    Draw 25.53%
EcuadorDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 16.09% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 12.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 57.26%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.4% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.19%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Guatemala

Ecuador
70.2%
Draw
5.3%
Guatemala
24.6%
57
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2018 2.05am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
2-0
Guatemala
Valencia (82'), Ibarra (85')
Franco (54'), Carlos Paredes (66'), Guerrero (68')
rhs 2.0
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