Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Ecuador0 - 2Italy
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's friendly fixture against Ecuador.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 2-0 Guatemala
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Venezuela
Thursday, March 21 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
We said: Ecuador 1-1 Italy
While Italy are still a work in progress, they should possess enough guile to unlock Ecuador's increasingly mean defence - but La Tri can be expected to score too. With one eye on the summer, both managers may experiment during the second half, so a draw represents a decent result for either side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Italy had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Italy win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ecuador | Draw | Italy |
39.5% ( 0.02) | 27.86% ( -0) | 32.63% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.93% ( 0.01) | 58.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.25% ( 0.01) | 78.74% ( -0.01) |
Ecuador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.33% ( 0.01) | 28.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.51% ( 0.02) | 64.49% ( -0.02) |
Italy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67% ( -0.01) | 33% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% ( -0.01) | 69.58% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ecuador 39.49%
Italy 32.63%
Draw 27.86%
Ecuador | Draw | Italy |
1-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.63% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Italy
Ecuador
19.7%Draw
26.5%Italy
53.8%132
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 16:30:27
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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