Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Ecuador0 - 2Italy
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's friendly fixture against Ecuador.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 2-0 Guatemala
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Venezuela
Thursday, March 21 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 21 at 9pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
We said: Ecuador 1-1 Italy
While Italy are still a work in progress, they should possess enough guile to unlock Ecuador's increasingly mean defence - but La Tri can be expected to score too. With one eye on the summer, both managers may experiment during the second half, so a draw represents a decent result for either side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Italy had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Italy win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Italy |
39.5% ( 0.02) | 27.86% ( -0) | 32.63% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
