Friendlies 1
Jun 13, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Subaru Park
Ecuador3 - 1Bolivia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 10 at 12am in International Friendlies
Monday, June 10 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 1 at 2.30am in International Friendlies
Saturday, June 1 at 2.30am in International Friendlies
We said: Ecuador 2-1 Bolivia
A closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday between two evenly-matched nations, but Ecuador will be regarded as slight favourites and should have enough quality in the final third to outscore their opponents en route to a slender friendly victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 8.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.79%) and 3-0 (11.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Bolivia |
74.36% ( -0.56) | 17.54% ( 0.15) | 8.1% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 36.72% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
