MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 21:01:38| >> :60:214:214:
Uruguay national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2024 at 2am UK
MetLife Stadium
Bolivia national football team

Uruguay
5 - 0
Bolivia

Pellistri (8'), Nunez (21'), Araujo (77'), Valverde (81'), Bentancur (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rocha (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America

Bolivia

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: USA 2-0 Bolivia
Sunday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa America

We said: Uruguay 3-0 Bolivia

 Uruguay have a habit of convincingly winning against the Bolivians, and we have difficulty believing La Verde will be able to contain that intense Uruguayan press. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 70.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawBolivia
70.91% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.16% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 10.92% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.55% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.408 -0.41)44.54% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.395 -0.39)66.91% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)11.28% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.1% (-0.246 -0.25)35.9% (0.243 0.24)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.34% (-0.378 -0.38)48.65% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.29% (-0.276 -0.28)83.71% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 70.9%
    Bolivia 10.92%
    Draw 18.16%
UruguayDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 13.06% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 9.5% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 70.9%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.16%
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 10.92%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Bolivia

Uruguay
88.5%
Draw
6.7%
Bolivia
4.8%
104
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
3-0
Bolivia
Nunez (15', 71')
Villamil (39' og.)
Villamil (59'), Vaca (64')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
3-0
Uruguay
Carlos Arce (29', 79'), Moreno (45')
Quinteros (21')
Algaranaz (74')

Gonzalez (60')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-2
Bolivia
De Arrascaeta (15', 65' pen.), Valverde (31'), Alvarez (47')
Moreno (60', 79')
> Preview
Jun 24, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
0-2
Uruguay

Chura (16'), Vaca (47'), Sanchez (81')
Lampe (40' og.), Cavani (79')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-2
Bolivia
Caceres (40'), Cavani (42'), Suarez (60', 76')
Silva (24' og.), Godin (79' og.)
rhs 2.0
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