MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:39:32| >> :60:467:467:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 1, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Soldier Field
Bolivia national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Bolivia

Alvarez (47')
Garcia (85'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saucedo (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Mexico and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 0-2 USA
Monday, March 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Andorra
Monday, March 25 at 9pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 2-0 Bolivia

Both teams have not pulled up trees in non-competitive games in the last 18 to 24 months, but Mexico's superior firepower should see Lozano's El Tri side claim a routine win over this young Bolivia who have typically flourished under Zago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawBolivia
82.35% (-0.224 -0.22) 12.31% (0.134 0.13) 5.34% (0.0941 0.09)
Both teams to score 39.3% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (-0.238 -0.24)37.42% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (-0.257 -0.26)59.64% (0.261 0.26)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.14% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)6.86% (0.098100000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.76% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)25.24% (0.261 0.26)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.19% (0.147 0.15)57.81% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.51% (0.083 0.08)89.49% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 82.34%
    Bolivia 5.34%
    Draw 12.31%
MexicoDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 14.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 12.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 8.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 82.34%
1-1 @ 5.82% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 12.31%
0-1 @ 2.17% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 1.6% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.34%

How you voted: Mexico vs Bolivia

Mexico
86.6%
Draw
6.1%
Bolivia
7.3%
82
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2015 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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