MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 23:23:53| >> :60:136:136:
Uruguay national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2024 at 2am UK
Hard Rock Stadium
Panama national football team

Uruguay
3 - 1
Panama

Araujo (16'), Nunez (85'), Vina (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Murillo (90+4')
Welch (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Uruguay 3-0 Panama

 Uruguay have plenty of in-form attackers and experienced players who know how to handle the pressures of this competition and that should come in handy against a good Panamanian side that have yet to prove they can compete consistently with CONMEBOL teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawPanama
37.45% (-0.398 -0.4) 28.16% (0.204 0.2) 34.39% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 47.23% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09% (-0.718 -0.72)58.92% (0.724 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6% (-0.56 -0.56)79.41% (0.56500000000001 0.57)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-0.596 -0.6)30.3% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (-0.72 -0.72)66.48% (0.724 0.72)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.235 -0.23)32.24% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.269 -0.27)68.74% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 37.44%
    Panama 34.38%
    Draw 28.16%
UruguayDrawPanama
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.77% (0.265 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.38%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Panama

Uruguay
88.9%
Draw
8.5%
Panama
2.6%
117
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 9pm
International Friendly
Uruguay
5-0
Panama
Cavani (39', 48' pen.), De la Cruz (58'), Gomez (68'), Rossi (77')
Torreira (49'), Ugarte (82')

Nazario Cordoba Welch (33'), Tello Rojas (86')
> Preview
Jun 8, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Uruguay
3-0
Panama
Gomez (19'), Suarez (69'), Valverde (79')
Vecino (7')
rhs 2.0
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