Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Uruguay |
| 28% | 23.94% | 48.07% |
| Both teams to score 57.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% | 43.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% | 29.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.07% | 64.93% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% | 18.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.43% | 49.57% |
| Score Analysis |
Bolivia 28%
Uruguay 48.07%
Draw 23.93%
| Bolivia | Draw | Uruguay |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.42% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.07% |
How you voted: Bolivia vs Uruguay
Bolivia
29.3%Draw
5.4%Uruguay
65.2%92
