MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 23:38:41| >> :60:301:301:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 6, 2024 at 2am UK
Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Uruguay national football team

Mexico
0 - 4
Uruguay

FT(HT: 0-3)
Nunez (7', 44', 49'), Pellistri (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's international friendly between Mexico and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 1 at 2.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-0 Uruguay
Saturday, June 1 at 3am in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 1-2 Uruguay

Both teams fielded weakened teams last time out, but they will step up a gear or two in their penultimate pre-Copa America friendly. Given the attacking ability available to either coach, the locals in Colorado should be treated to goals, with Bielsa' Uruguay likeliest to take victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawUruguay
46.98% (0.556 0.56) 26.75% (-0.225 -0.23) 26.28% (-0.329 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.81% (0.389 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.49% (0.626 0.63)56.52% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5% (0.503 0.5)77.51% (-0.501 -0.5)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.54299999999999 0.54)24.06% (-0.54 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (0.766 0.77)58.34% (-0.763 -0.76)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (0.064999999999998 0.06)37.05% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (0.062999999999999 0.06)73.84% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 46.97%
    Uruguay 26.28%
    Draw 26.75%
MexicoDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.69% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.055 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.97%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Mexico vs Uruguay

Mexico
38.5%
Draw
11.5%
Uruguay
50.0%
234
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 3am
International Friendly
Mexico
0-3
Uruguay

Araujo (42'), Alvarez (61')
Cavani (53')
Torreira (68')
Sep 8, 2018 3.08am
International Friendlies
Mexico
1-4
Uruguay
Jimenez (25' pen.)
Gimenez (21'), Suarez (32', 40'), Pereiro (59')
Suarez (29'), Bentancur (37')
Jun 22, 2010 3pm
Group Stage
Mexico
0-1
Uruguay
Suarez (43')
rhs 2.0
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