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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Príncipe Felipe
Real Madrid logo

Cacereno
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Manchon (28'), Fernandez (66'), Telles (73'), Bermudez (78'), Ramirez (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrygo (69')
Tchouameni (27'), Camavinga (88')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Cacereno and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Cacereno and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Cacereno in the Copa del Rey.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Real Valladolid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cacereno

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cacereno 2-1 Girona
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 0-2 Real Madrid
Friday, December 30 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cacereno 0-3 Real Madrid

 Shocks can always happen in this competition, and Cacereno will have gained huge confidence from their win over Girona in the last round. We are finding it very tough to predict an upset here, though, with Real Madrid likely to be far too strong for their opponents on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Cacereno win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
CacerenoDrawReal Madrid
12.5% (0.349 0.35) 17.94% (0.108 0.11) 69.56% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.74400000000001 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.69% (0.404 0.4)39.31% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.36% (0.422 0.42)61.65% (-0.425 -0.42)
Cacereno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (0.829 0.83)42.55% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (0.7 0.7)78.91% (-0.70299999999999 -0.7)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)10.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)33.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cacereno 12.5%
    Real Madrid 69.55%
    Draw 17.94%
CacerenoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 3.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.62% (0.095 0.1)
2-0 @ 1.58% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.03% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.5%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.94%
0-2 @ 11.3% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 9.91% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.61% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 7.35% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.081 0.08)
0-5 @ 2.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 69.55%

How you voted: Cacereno vs Real Madrid

Cacereno
14.0%
Draw
10.5%
Real Madrid
75.6%
86
rhs 2.0
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