We said: Real Madrid 3-0 Girona
Girona certainly know what it takes to beat Real Madrid, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result in this contest. Ancelotti's side will be fired up to recover from their first loss of the 2022-23 campaign, and we are expecting it to be a comfortable match for the champions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.