MX23RW : Friday, January 17 19:48:04| >> :120:17919:17919:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2025 at 11am UK
Estadio O Couto
Real Valladolid logo

Ourense CF
3 - 2
Valladolid

Noriega Figueroa (17'), Marcolino Ramos Santos (32'), Sanchez Baro (52')
Fidalgo Gonzalez (66')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Moro (15'), Amallah (24')
Ndiaye (13'), Anuar (65'), Perez (67'), Martin Rielves (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Ourense CF and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ourense CF 1-0 Deportivo
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Girona 3-0 Valladolid
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Ourense CF 1-2 Real Valladolid

Despite Real Valladolid's struggles, it would be a huge shock if they did not progress to the next round; Ourense have the tools to harm the La Liga outfit, but we are expecting the visitors to secure their position in the last-16 stage of the Copa del Rey. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Ourense CF had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Ourense CF win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Ourense CFDrawReal Valladolid
28.44% (-0.742 -0.74) 27.78% (0.327 0.33) 43.77% (0.414 0.41)
Both teams to score 46.38% (-1.307 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-1.467 -1.47)59.05% (1.466 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-1.149 -1.15)79.51% (1.149 1.15)
Ourense CF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (-1.374 -1.37)36.64% (1.373 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (-1.407 -1.41)73.43% (1.405 1.41)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.464 -0.46)26.8% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.615 -0.62)62.09% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Ourense CF 28.44%
    Real Valladolid 43.77%
    Draw 27.78%
Ourense CFDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.178 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.44%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.531 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 12.93% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.51% (0.246 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.77%

How you voted: Ourense CF vs Valladolid

Ourense CF
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Real Valladolid
61.5%
13
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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