Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
31.73% ( 0.12) | 28.78% ( 0.06) | 39.48% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 44.96% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.52% ( -0.17) | 61.47% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.65% ( -0.13) | 81.35% ( 0.12) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% ( -0) | 35.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0) | 72.2% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( -0.19) | 30.35% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( -0.23) | 66.54% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 39.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |