Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talavera de la Reina win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Talavera de la Reina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Talavera de la Reina	Draw	Almeria
40.97% ( 0.03)	22.99% ( 0)	36.03% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 65.19% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.03% (

-0.02)

35.97% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.93% (

-0.02)

58.07% (

0.02)

Talavera de la Reina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

18.12% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.92% (

49.08% (

-0.01)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62% (

-0.02)

20.38% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

-0.04)

52.79% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Talavera de la Reina 40.97%

Almeria 36.03%

Draw 22.99%

Talavera de la Reina	Draw	Almeria
2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 40.97%	1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.03%