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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Las Palmas

Almeria
1 - 2
Las Palmas

Ramazani (73')
Baba (18'), Robertone (31'), Montes (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Haddadi (23'), Kaba (90+4')
Cardona (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Las Palmas

Las Palmas do not concede many, but they have real problems finding the back of the net, and if Almeria can score first, we fancy them to avoid defeat here. It is difficult to back the hosts to win due to their struggles in that department this season, but we can see the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawLas Palmas
38.18% (1.75 1.75) 26.66% (0.191 0.19) 35.15% (-1.944 -1.94)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.717 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (-0.871 -0.87)53.05% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (-0.746 -0.75)74.64% (0.741 0.74)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (0.59700000000001 0.6)27.03% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (0.779 0.78)62.39% (-0.785 -0.79)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-1.581 -1.58)28.82% (1.577 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-2.009 -2.01)64.68% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 38.18%
    Las Palmas 35.15%
    Draw 26.65%
AlmeriaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.506 0.51)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.44 0.44)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.145 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.15%

How you voted: Almeria vs Las Palmas

Almeria
35.3%
Draw
41.2%
Las Palmas
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Las Palmas
1-1
Almeria
Viera (37')
Viera (52'), Cardona (54'), Pinchi (59'), Penaranda (90+2')
Appiah (51')
Robertone (18'), de la Hoz (55'), Babic (61')
Oct 9, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Almeria
1-1
Las Palmas
Portillo (32')
Chumi (21'), Sousa (84')
Viera (90')
Cardona (36'), Ferigra (56'), Curbelo (67'), Loiodice (73')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Almeria
3-1
Las Palmas
Villar (45+2' pen., 48'), Akieme (54')
Fernandes (20'), Samu (26'), Villar (28'), Robertone (43')
Mujica (53')
Castellano (72')
Oct 17, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Las Palmas
2-0
Almeria
Araujo (7', 76')
Lemos (14'), Pejino (28')

Carvalho (55'), Aketxe (62'), Balliu (65')
Jun 17, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Las Palmas

Aguza (45+6'), Corpas (61'), Jonathan (73'), Martinez Gonzalvez (74'), de la Hoz (90+3')
Castro (23')
de la Bella (35'), Miguel Castaneda Macho (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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