Copa do Brasil | Final | 2nd Leg
Dec 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR1 - 2Atletico Mineiro
We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-3 Atletico Mineiro
Athletico Paranaense will have to throw caution to the wind in a bid to gain a foothold in the final, but their desperate need for goals could leave them exposed defensively, and we think that will allow Atletico Mineiro to ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 38.93% | 26.38% | 34.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
