MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:13:55| >> :120:3911:3911:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil | Final | 2nd Leg
Dec 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Atletico Mineiro

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Jaderson (87')
Kayzer (29'), Vinicius (45+5'), Cittadini (45+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keno (25'), Hulk (76')
Vargas (45+7'), Jair (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Athletico Paranaense and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-3 Atletico Mineiro

 Athletico Paranaense will have to throw caution to the wind in a bid to gain a foothold in the final, but their desperate need for goals could leave them exposed defensively, and we think that will allow Atletico Mineiro to ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
38.93%26.38%34.7%
Both teams to score 52.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09%51.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34%73.66%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91%26.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86%61.14%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45%28.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66%64.34%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 38.92%
    Atletico Mineiro 34.7%
    Draw 26.37%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.92%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense
21.4%
Draw
0.0%
Atletico Mineiro
78.6%
14
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
Final 1st Leg
Atletico Mineiro
4-0
Athletico PR
Hulk (24' pen.), Keno (35'), Vargas (56', 69')
Hulk (22'), Arana (58'), Rabello (80')

Heleno (11'), Hernandez (19'), Henrique (53')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Eduardo (41')
Zaracho (45')
Costa (38'), Jair (41')
> Preview
Aug 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Athletico PR
Vargas (60' pen.), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (69')
Mariano (45'), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (67'), Vargas (86')
Vargas (89')

Heleno (59'), Christian (80'), Erick (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Erick (52'), Cittadini (66')
Vargas (44')
Gabriel (68'), Rever (90+3')
Nov 18, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico Mineiro
0-2
Athletico PR

Keno (61'), Bueno (90+6')
Christian (35'), Nikao (45+1')
Richard (60'), Christian (88')
rhs 2.0
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