Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Operario Ferroviario win with a probability of 74.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Humaita had a probability of 8.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Operario Ferroviario win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.19%) and 0-3 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Humaita win it was 1-0 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.