Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Horacio Domingos de Sousa
Maracana1 - 1Ferroviario
Lucas Ramos da Silva (78')
Alan Bezerra Ferreira (28'), da Rocha Soares dos Santos (58'), Anastacio Silva Filho (64')
Alan Bezerra Ferreira (28'), da Rocha Soares dos Santos (58'), Anastacio Silva Filho (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferreira da Silva (32')
Brito dos Santos (12'), Ferreira da Silva (58'), Ramires (70')
Brito dos Santos (12'), Ferreira da Silva (58'), Ramires (70')
Maracana win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Maracana and Ferroviario.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maracana win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ferroviario had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maracana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Ferroviario win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maracana | Draw | Ferroviario |
48.92% ( 0.61) | 26.1% ( 0.17) | 24.98% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
