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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
0 - 2
River Plate


Torren (6'), Mac Allister (57'), Avalos (72'), Villalba (74'), Sandoval (79'), Gomez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (35', 54')
Montiel (4'), Perez (24'), Zuculini (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Argentinos Juniors and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
27.62%27.79%44.58%
Both teams to score 45.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.52%59.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.16%79.84%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.32%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42%26.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21%61.79%
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 27.62%
    River Plate 44.58%
    Draw 27.79%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 13.22%
0-2 @ 8.76%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-3 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.28%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 44.58%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs River Plate

Argentinos Juniors
26.3%
Draw
15.8%
River Plate
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
River Plate
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (10')
Hauche (40')
Mar 9, 2021 12.30am
Dec 13, 2020 10.20pm
Fase Campeon
River Plate
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
Alvarez (28' pen.)
Rojas (22'), Sosa (44'), Pratto (63'), Carrascal (77')
Coronel (66')
Romero (15'), A. Chavez (27')
Jul 28, 2019 12am
Argentinos Jrs
1-1
River Plate
Batallini (19')
Hauche (8'), Silva (23'), Torren (49')
Andres Carrascal (85')
Zuculini (17'), Rollheiser (19'), De La Cruz (31'), Lopez (42'), Casco (52')
Aug 26, 2018 12am
Gameweek 3
River Plate
0-0
Argentinos Jrs
Pinola (9'), Maidana (78')
Torren (9'), Machin (52'), Mac Allister (55')
rhs 2.0
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