Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 26, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors2 - 1Alianza Lima
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Boca Juniors and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Aldosivi
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
8
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Alianza Lima |
52.04% ( 0.05) | 25.53% ( 0) | 22.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.03% ( -0.05) | 54.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.75% ( -0.04) | 76.25% ( 0.04) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -0) | 21.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.98% | 54.02% ( -0) |
| Alianza Lima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( -0.08) | 39.7% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.07) | 76.37% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Boca Juniors 52.03%
Alianza Lima 22.43%
Draw 25.53%
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Alianza Lima |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.03% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.43% |
How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Alianza Lima
Boca Juniors
66.7%Draw
16.7%Alianza Lima
16.7%6
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2018 12.30am
Form Guide
