Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima1 - 1Cerro Porteno
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
53.89% ( -0.01) | 26.53% ( -0.01) | 19.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.39% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
