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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
1 - 1
Cerro Porteno

Barcos (80')
Ramos (35'), Zanelatto (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iturbe (26')
Peralta (45+2'), Baez (76'), Fernandez (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Cerro Porteno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Alianza LimaDrawCerro Porteno
53.89% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 26.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.58% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.39% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.88% (0.052 0.05)61.12% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (0.038 0.04)81.08% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (0.019999999999996 0.02)22.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (0.027999999999999 0.03)56.69% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.69% (0.053000000000004 0.05)46.3% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.04% (0.040000000000003 0.04)81.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Lima 53.88%
    Cerro Porteno 19.58%
    Draw 26.52%
Alianza LimaDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 10.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.58%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
1-0
Alianza Lima
Carrizo (90+6')
Viera (16'), Morel (36'), Peralta (41'), Brock (44')

Castillo (42'), Cabellos (54'), Zambrano (58'), Rodriguez (90')
rhs 2.0
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