Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Argentinos Jrs1 - 1Fluminense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-3 Estudiantes
Friday, July 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, July 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Fluminense
Argentinos were the more consistent of the two sides in the group stage, but Flu have a quality finisher in Cano who does not need much of an opening to score. This could be more of a feel-out game for these two evenly-matched sides, which is why we believe that a stalemate is a logical scoreline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Fluminense |
47.2% ( 0.07) | 25.32% ( -0.03) | 27.48% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
