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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Flamengo

Bolivar
1 - 0
Flamengo

Savio (57')
Anderson (47'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90')
Anderson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de la Cruz (28'), Gerson (61'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Bolivar and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Bolivar
Friday, August 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bolivar 1-0 Flamengo (Flamengo advances 2-1 on aggregate)

 With a two-goal cushion, the Brazilians may put an extra emphasis on maintaining that advantage, and we believe they will do just enough to hang on against a desperate Bolivar side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolivar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolivar.

Result
BolivarDrawFlamengo
40.72% (-0.457 -0.46) 24.33% (0.139 0.14) 34.95% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.58900000000001 -0.59)42.72% (0.59200000000001 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.588 -0.59)65.12% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)21.08% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (-0.727 -0.73)53.9% (0.728 0.73)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)24.03% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (-0.138 -0.14)58.3% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 40.72%
    Flamengo 34.95%
    Draw 24.32%
BolivarDrawFlamengo
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.052 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.167 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.95%

How you voted: Bolivar vs Flamengo

Bolivar
46.9%
Draw
21.9%
Flamengo
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-0
Bolivar
Araujo (30'), Pereira (89')
Pulgar (52'), de la Cruz (60')

Justiniano (31')
> Preview
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Flamengo
4-0
Bolivar
Gerson (1'), Lucas (38'), Everton (43'), Pedro (56')
Savio (89')

Sagredo (6'), Barbosa (89'), Savio (89')
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
2-1
Flamengo
Da Costa (2'), Savio (62')
Vina (5')
rhs 2.0
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