Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
4 - 0
Bolivar

Gerson (1'), Lucas (38'), Everton (43'), Pedro (56')
Savio (89')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sagredo (6'), Barbosa (89'), Savio (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Corinthians
Saturday, May 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolivar

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Bolivar
Thursday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 11.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Bolivar
72.89% ( 0.06)	16.07% ( -0.03)	11.04% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.74% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.86% (

0.07)

34.14% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.97% (

0.07)

56.02% (

-0.07)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.89% (

0.03)

8.11% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.52% (

0.07)

28.48% (

-0.07)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49% (

-0.01)

41.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.99% (

-0.01)

78.01% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 72.89%

Bolivar 11.04%

Draw 16.07%

Flamengo	Draw	Bolivar
2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 72.89%	1-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.07%	1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 11.04%