We said: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios
While it is unusual to see Flamengo potentially on the brink of elimination at this stage, we believe their experience in win-or-go-home scenarios, along with their strong form at home, will enable them to prolong their Libertadores adventure into the last 16.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.