Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 18, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo4 - 1Flamengo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, August 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Bolivar
Friday, August 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, August 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Botafogo | Draw | Flamengo |
32.94% ( 1.03) | 27.51% ( 0.05) | 39.55% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 48.91% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.3% ( 0.03) | 56.7% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.35% ( 0.03) | 77.65% ( -0.03) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.92% ( 0.73) | 32.08% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.45% ( 0.82) | 68.55% ( -0.83) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( -0.59) | 27.98% ( 0.59) |