MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 08:23:09| >> :600:8936929:8936929:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios
1 - 1
Bolivar

Llinas (43')
Rosales (58'), Giraldo (61'), Rosales (66'), Giordana (84'), Llinas (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vaca (67')
Rodriguez (34'), Savio (81'), Justiniano (90'), Vaca (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palestino 3-1 Millonarios
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Bolivar 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
MillonariosDrawBolivar
52.19% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 23.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 24.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (-0.2 -0.2)46.28% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.189 -0.19)68.57% (0.185 0.19)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.111 -0.11)17.72% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.188 -0.19)48.38% (0.184 0.18)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)33.37% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)69.99% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Millonarios 52.19%
    Bolivar 24.06%
    Draw 23.75%
MillonariosDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.19%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.06%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-2
Millonarios
Sagredo (3'), Da Costa (10'), Savio (34')
Savio (38'), da Costa (75')
Rocha (25')
Castro (45+1', 72')
Pablo Vargas (15'), Castro (38')
Alfonzo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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