MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 18:49:43| >> :600:1716923:1716923:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Caracas
1 - 1
Rosario

Pernia (25')
Rivas (17'), Perez (34'), Jimenez (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Modica (67')
Martinez (79'), Modica (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, April 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
CaracasDrawRosario Central
37.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 29.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 33.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.68% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.99% (0.065999999999995 0.07)62.01% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)81.74% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)31.9% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (0.02 0.02)68.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.063000000000002 0.06)34.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.068999999999999 0.07)71.11% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 37.38%
    Rosario Central 33.58%
    Draw 29.02%
CaracasDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 12.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.58%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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