Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 13, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Colo-Colo2 - 1Alianza Lima
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colo-Colo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colo-Colo | Draw | Alianza Lima |
| 46.9% | 22.58% | 30.51% |
| Both teams to score 64.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
