Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 29, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol3 - 0Colo-Colo
Kagelmacher (23'), Torres (57'), Urreta (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and Colo-Colo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Colo-Colo |
| 47.83% | 27.39% | 24.78% |
| Both teams to score 44.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
