Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional1 - 0Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: La Luz 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, November 30 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, November 30 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 River Plate
Thursday, November 30 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, November 30 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
57
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
40.61% ( -0.83) | 26.83% ( 0.31) | 32.55% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
