Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for America de Cali had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an America de Cali win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.