Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
Magallanes1 - 1Medellin
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Magallanes and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Medellin 2-1 El Nacional
Thursday, March 2 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 2 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Magallanes | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
51.49% ( -0) | 25.36% ( -0.01) | 23.14% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.29% ( 0.06) | 53.71% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% ( 0.05) | 75.19% ( -0.05) |
Magallanes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( 0.02) | 20.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% ( 0.04) | 53.57% ( -0.04) |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( 0.04) | 38.31% ( -0.04) |