MX23RW : Thursday, December 19 00:59:11| >> :60:1334:1334:
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
Medellin

Magallanes
1 - 1
Medellin

Zapata (90+5')
Filla (49'), Zapata (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Batalla (70')
Monsalve (47'), Batalla (51'), Valencia (83'), Mosquera (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Magallanes and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Always Ready 1-3 Magallanes
Thursday, March 2 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Medellin 2-1 El Nacional
Thursday, March 2 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
MagallanesDrawIndependiente Medellin
51.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 23.14% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (0.057000000000002 0.06)53.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)75.19% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Magallanes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)53.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (0.044999999999995 0.04)38.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)75.06% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Magallanes 51.49%
    Independiente Medellin 23.14%
    Draw 25.36%
MagallanesDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 8% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23.14%

How you voted: Magallanes vs Medellin

Magallanes
46.7%
Draw
33.3%
Independiente Medellin
20.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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