Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg

Feb 23, 2023 at 10pm UK

Magallanes
3 - 0
Always Ready

(Magallanes win 6-1 on aggregate)

Vilches (21'), Pinero (80'), Filla (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabrera (58'), Medina (90+8'), Enoumba (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Magallanes and Always Ready.

Form, Standings, Stats

Always Ready

Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Always Ready
Friday, May 27 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Always Ready had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Always Ready win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magallanes would win this match.

Result
Magallanes	Draw	Always Ready
49.98% ( 0.13)	24.49% ( -0.04)	25.53% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82% (

0.11)

48.18% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66% (

0.1)

70.33% (

-0.11)

Magallanes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

0.09)

19.3% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

0.16)

51.05% (

-0.17)

Always Ready Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83% (

-0.02)

33.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.23% (

-0.02)

69.77% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Magallanes 49.98%

Always Ready 25.53%

Draw 24.49%

Magallanes	Draw	Always Ready
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.53%