Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 2, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin2 - 1El Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Independiente Medellin and El Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: El Nacional 2-2 Medellin
Wednesday, February 22 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 22 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
Result | ||
Independiente Medellin | Draw | El Nacional |
45.56% ( 0.19) | 26.69% ( 0.24) | 27.75% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 49.03% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.55% ( -1.13) | 55.45% ( 1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.36% ( -0.93) | 76.64% ( 0.94) |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% ( -0.4) | 24.27% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.36% ( -0.58) | 58.64% ( 0.58) |
El Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% ( -0.94) | 35.25% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% ( -0.99) | 72.01% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Independiente Medellin 45.55%
El Nacional 27.75%
Draw 26.69%
Independiente Medellin | Draw | El Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.75% |
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2023 10pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 20:58:08
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Bad things come in threes: Man United hit with triple injury blow
2
When it rains it pours: 10-man Man United torn apart by scintillating Spurs
3
'Abhorrent and hugely offensive' - Spurs condemn homophobic chants from fans
4
West Brom vs. Middlesbrough - prediction, team news, lineups
5
Slovan Bratislava vs. Man City - prediction, team news, lineups
6
B. Leverkusen vs. AC Milan - prediction, team news, lineups
7
Dortmund vs. Celtic - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Serie A move: Forward linked with Arsenal, Man United 'in talks with Juventus'
9
Delap at the double as Ipswich fight back to secure point against Villa
10
Will De Bruyne return? Man City predicted lineup against Slovan Bratislava
Sport News 24/7