MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 17:13:42| >> :60:165:165:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Patronato

Olimpia
1 - 0
Patronato

Cardozo (44')
Zavala (78'), Salazar (86'), Ortiz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sosa (18'), Gonzalez (37'), Solis (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Olimpia and Patronato.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 1-1 Olimpia
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Patronato 1-2 Atletico Nacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olimpia in this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawPatronato
44.97% (0.002999999999993 0) 27.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 27.39% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96% (-0.126 -0.13)59.03% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.5% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)79.5% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)26.17% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)61.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (-0.1 -0.1)37.49% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)74.27% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 44.97%
    Patronato 27.39%
    Draw 27.63%
OlimpiaDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.39%

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