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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Penarol

Olimpia
1 - 0
Penarol

Salcedo (33')
Zarate (5'), Gomez (36'), Cardozo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Musto (21'), Elizalde (53')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Olimpia and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olimpia in this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawPenarol
51.71%25.1%23.19%
Both teams to score 49.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36%52.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71%74.29%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64%20.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24%52.76%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34%37.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56%74.44%
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 51.71%
    Penarol 23.19%
    Draw 25.09%
OlimpiaDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.49%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.19%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2022 1.30am
Penarol
2-1
Olimpia
Ramos (45+2'), Carrizo (49')
Arias (59'), Menosse (69')
Gonzalez (80')
Eduardo Recalde (64'), Gonzalez (69'), Ortiz (88'), Gamarra (88')
rhs 2.0
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