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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio B.G. Estanislao Lopez

Colon
2 - 1
Olimpia

Lertora (41', 84')
Aliendro (45+2'), Lertora (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Quintana (7')
Torres (29'), Paiva (45+2'), Candia (64'), Salcedo (69'), Salazar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Colon and Olimpia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colon

Last Six:
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Colon
Saturday, June 4 at 4pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Colon vs. Union
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Olimpia

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
    Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
    Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    We said: Colon 1-1 Olimpia

     Colon and Olimpia are very evenly matched and with both teams having the strength the other side lacks, it is likely that they could cancel each other out. As seen from recent Copa Libertadores fixtures, high-scoring matchups are not common with these teams, so a low-scoring draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 25.81%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

    Result
    ColonDrawOlimpia
    47.5% (0.117 0.12) 26.69% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 25.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
    Both teams to score 47.62% (0.198 0.2)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    43.43% (0.271 0.27)56.57% (-0.276 -0.28)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    22.45% (0.218 0.22)77.55% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
    Colon Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.16% (0.17 0.17)23.84% (-0.176 -0.18)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    41.98% (0.247 0.25)58.02% (-0.252 -0.25)
    Olimpia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    62.52% (0.118 0.12)37.47% (-0.124 -0.12)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    25.74% (0.116 0.12)74.26% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)
    Score Analysis
        Colon 47.5%
        Olimpia 25.81%
        Draw 26.68%
    ColonDrawOlimpia
    1-0 @ 12.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
    2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    2-1 @ 9.01% (0.026 0.03)
    3-0 @ 4.39% (0.021 0.02)
    3-1 @ 4.31% (0.035 0.04)
    3-2 @ 2.11% (0.024 0.02)
    4-0 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.54% (0.02 0.02)
    Other @ 2.57%
    Total : 47.5%
    		1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
    0-0 @ 8.93% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
    2-2 @ 4.42% (0.027 0.03)
    Other @ 0.76%
    Total : 26.68%
    		0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
    1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
    0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.45% (0.014 0.01)
    0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    Other @ 1.7%
    Total : 25.81%

    How you voted: Colon vs Olimpia

    Colon
    66.7%
    Draw
    22.2%
    Olimpia
    11.1%
    9
    Head to Head
    Apr 29, 2022 1am
    Olimpia
    0-0
    Colon

    Ortiz (16'), Gamarra (51')
    rhs 2.0
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