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Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
5 - 0
Cerro Porteno

Samudio (37' og.), Rony (73', 83'), Lopes (75'), Gomez (78')
Menino (40'), Danilo (52'), Rony (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Patino (46'), Espinola (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro

Cerro Porteno

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-3 Palmeiras
    Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

    We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Cerro Porteno

     With a sizeable advantage heading into this leg, you might be inclined to see Palmeiras be a little more passive, but they are deceptively quick on the counter, and you rarely know when this team will attack you with numbers going forward. We expect El Ciclon to put up a fight, but in the end, this team do not have the quality to trouble a backline, who are among the stingiest in South America. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 16.05%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

    Result
    PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
    60.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 23.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 16.05% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
    Both teams to score 43.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    45.2% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)54.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    23.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.1% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
    Palmeiras Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.78%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    51.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)
    Cerro Porteno Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    53.07% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)46.92% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    17.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)82.43% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Palmeiras 60.57%
        Cerro Porteno 16.05%
        Draw 23.36%
    PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
    1-0 @ 14.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-0 @ 12.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    3-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
    3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    4-0 @ 3.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    4-1 @ 2.34%
    3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    5-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    Other @ 3.17%
    Total : 60.57%
    		1-1 @ 10.9%
    0-0 @ 8.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
    2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
    Other @ 0.56%
    Total : 23.36%
    		0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 2.19%
    Total : 16.05%

    How you voted: Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno

    Palmeiras
    76.9%
    Draw
    23.1%
    Cerro Porteno
    0.0%
    13
    Head to Head
    Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
    Cerro Porteno
    0-3
    Palmeiras

    Espinola (80')
    Rony (61', 71'), Cerqueira (87')
    Scarpa (56')
    Aug 10, 2018 1.45am
    Cerro Porteno
    0-2
    Palmeiras

    Rojas (35'), Palau (54'), Churin (73')
    Borja (47', 71')
    Moises (1'), Dudu (74')
    rhs 2.0
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