Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 3, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
0 - 2
Athletico PR

Piquerez (57')
Menino (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Roque (36'), Bueno (58' pen.)
Henrique (39'), Vinicius (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	14	17	29
2	Corinthians	14	7	26
3	Internacional	14	7	24

We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Athletico Paranaense

The way Palmeiras have been playing, this might very well be a must-win game for Paranaense if they want a chance to catch the league leaders before the end of the campaign. Both sides are as sharp as they come on the defensive side, but Palestra are rarely exposed at the back and are masters at finding those pockets of space in behind opposing wing-backs, which we believe they will take advantage of this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 73.4%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.35%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
73.4% ( 0.73)	17.19% ( -0.3)	9.41% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 43.1% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33% (

0.03)

44.67% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97% (

0.03)

67.03% (

-0.03)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.34% (

0.2)

10.66% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.47% (

0.44)

34.53% (

-0.44)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.24% (

-0.88)

51.75% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.16% (

-0.59)

85.84% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 73.39%

Athletico Paranaense 9.41%

Draw 17.19%

Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 73.39%	1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.54% Total : 17.19%	0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.41%