Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno1 - 0Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Penarol |
| 45.31% | 24.6% | 30.09% |
| Both teams to score 57.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
