Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras3 - 4Defensa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 57.67% | 25.27% | 17.06% |
| Both teams to score 40.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
