Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario1 - 1Defensa
Quintero Medina (45+5')
Corzo (63'), Leonardo Rugel Moran (85'), Alfageme (87'), Fernando Zevallos Villanueva (90')
Corzo (63'), Leonardo Rugel Moran (85'), Alfageme (87'), Fernando Zevallos Villanueva (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 40.42% | 26.01% | 33.57% |
| Both teams to score 53.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
